The Opta Super Computer has released its projections for Italian clubs competing in the 2026-27 Champions League, with Inter positioned as the strongest domestic representative in the competition. The defending Serie A and Coppa Italia champions are expected to advance through the league phase, with a 73.7% probability of reaching the round of 16 and a 39.5% chance of progressing to the quarter-finals.
Inter’s overall prospects in the tournament appear strong, as they carry a 3.6% likelihood of winning the entire competition, ranking eighth among all sides. The simulation, which ran 10,000 iterations of the tournament, suggests they have an 18.9% chance of reaching the semi-finals and an 8.7% possibility of making the final.
Roma, Como, and Napoli are also predicted to survive the league phase, though with varying degrees of likelihood. Roma ranks 13th in overall competition favorites, followed by Como at 14th and Napoli at 21st. Roma shows a 55.4% chance of reaching the round of 16, while Como sits at 47.8% and Napoli at 33.2%. The computer’s accuracy in previous seasons lends credibility to these projections, having correctly identified Paris Saint-Germain as the third-most likely winner in 2025-26, with the club ultimately claiming the title.
